Group Intelligence and the Internet

ICT: Intelligence, Communication, and Technology.

An exploration of online group intelligence.

Steven Jordan
UW-Stout

(Zimmer, 2012).


     In 1997 computational history was made when IBM super computer, Big Blue, defeated world chess champion Gary Kasparoff (Gustin, 2011). The accomplishment was a milestone of wit because human beings had always been intellectual kings. The feat demonstrates that humans may need to make room at the top of their pneumatic ant hill.

    Big Blue's chess victory may testify to the superior intellect of computers.  Ultimately, the intellectual victory may belong to humanity.  Consider the Internet as a synthesis of communication, information, and intelligence:
  • Communication is the exchange of information.
  • Information is the communication of knowledge or intelligence.
  • Knowledge is information acquired through experience or education (i.e., communication).
  • Intelligence is the ability to acquire and apply knowledge and skills. 


The cyclical process of intelligence.


     The United Nations held the World Summit on the Information Society (WSIS) in 2003.  The WSIS defined the digital revolution (WSIS, 2013):
 The rapid growth of Information and Communication Technologies and innovation in digital systems represent a revolution that has fundamentally changed the way people think, behave, communicate, work and earn their livelihood. This so-called digital revolution has forged new ways to create knowledge, educate people and disseminate information.
     WSIS specifically included the terms "information", "communication" and "knowledge".  Intelligence may be the Internet's missing link.
 
     Intelligence exists throughout nature and science. Tom Malone, professor of management at MIT, dedicates his research to the concept of collective brain power. Malone helped establish the MIT Center for Collective Intelligence. Their mission is to understand how people and computers can connect, so they collectively act more intelligently than any individuals, groups or computers have ever done before. (http://cci.mit.edu, 2012).


Model based on the work from The Collective Intelligence Genome,
Malone, Laubacher, Dellarocas, (2010).


     Malone’s Intelligence Genome model maps the various aspects of interconnected intelligence. Single cells that work together to function as complete organs, swarms of bees, and the Internet are all potential intellectual processes. For example, Big Blue is an artificial intelligence subset of cognition, which participates in the collective intelligence group.

     Malone’s research identified four “genes” that are the building blocks of collective intelligence (Malone et al. 2010):
  1. What is being done? 
  2. Who is doing it? 
  3. Why are they doing it? 
  4. How is it being done? 
     These four genes are, according to Malone, “the genes from which individual organisms develop, these organizational genes are the core elements from which collective intelligence systems are built.” (Malone et al. 2010). Malone’s four collective “intelligence genes” roughly translate to incentive, cooperation, collaboration and cognition.

Collaboration

     Synchronicity in nature provides a uniform intelligence to groups of all size. Steven Strogatz, professor of mathematics at Cornell University, discusses synchronicity on Ted.com (Strogatz, 2008). When a crowd of people begin to clap, the sound quickly becomes synchronized. A single heart cell must work with 10,000 other “pace-maker” cells to make the ventricle pump synchronized. Storgatz’s best examples are birds that flock together or fish that swim in organized schools. Strogatz explained the three steps involved in their synchronous behavior:


1. All individuals are only aware of their nearest neighbors.
2. All individuals have a tendency to line up.
3. They are all attracted to each other and the try to keep a small distance apart.

     Fish schools and bird flocks are based on these rules. There is also a forth rule: When a predator attacks, get out of the way! When a single bird is in flight, and part of the flock, the bird has added intelligence. For instance, when a bird is part of a swarm, the odds of getting its goose cooked by a predator are greatly reduced.

     There are also more eyes to spot danger. When a hawk is about to attack a flock of starlings, waves of panic propagate through the group, sending messages over great distances. Avian information can be sent over a half a mile with the synchronous communication network. Whether it’s a single cell organism or a herd of buffalo, when connected and working as a group, the individual becomes part of the collective intellect.

     The Internet has a collaborative influence on the herd mentality of humanity. Examples of digital synchronicity include viral YouTube videos and flash mobs. Synchronicity can also affect the ICT process of diffusion. Employees may accept or reject an innovation based on the critical mass of public group feedback. Synchronicity can also be used as an online warning system. Twitter alerts the online herd about atrocities, disease outbreaks, and threats from unexpected weather.

Cooperation

     Collective Intelligence is also found outside the flock and in other parts of the animal kingdom. Thomas Seeley, a biologist from Cornell University (Zimmer, 2012), makes a compelling discussion that links the behavior of ordinary honey bees to the human brain. Seeley demonstrates the secret world of bees and how decisions are made by the members of the hive.

     Seeley explains that when a hive grows too large, worker bees are sent to find a new home. The search for new real estate may take a few hours or a few days. After a scout finds a possible home the bee alerts the hive. The bees communicate by a process of dances, their degree of enthusiasm, and head-butts. The enthusiasm attracts the attention of other bees; the dance provides the exact coordinates of the potential home; and the head-butts are used to quiet other bees assigned with a similar task (competition).

     Seeley describes the hive as an exposed brain. “Both swarms and brains make their decision democratically” (Zimmer 2012). The hive uses thousands of bees, and a brain uses millions of neuron signals. Seeley’s analogy can be further extended as a living example of how the human hive of the Internet operates and is part of the cooperative gene pool that makes a collective intelligence.

Incentive

     The Internet may be the world’s largest brain. Through the use of incentives, crowdsourcing takes its over-sized brainpower to tackle giant problems. There are hundreds of millions of people that interconnect by using the Internet. Those people represent an opportunity cost in potential mind power. The goal is to bring together as many professionals, enthusiasts, and hobbyists as possible and focus their collective reasoning to solve otherwise impossible problems. Crowdsourcing combines collaborative, cooperative, incentive and cognitive collective intelligence.

     Jeff Howe explores crowdsourcing in his article, The Rise of Crowdsourcing, Howe explained how the pharmaceutical maker Eli Lilly, was able to harness the power of crowdsourcing. In 2001 the company launched InnoCentive.com as a means to expand their research and development (Howe, 2006).

     InnoCentive.com expanded its role and invited other firms to take advantage of the new collective intellect (for a fee). According to Howe, “Companies like Boeing, DuPont, and Procter & Gamble now post their most ornery scientific problems on InnoCentive’s Web site; anyone on InnoCentive’s network can take a shot at cracking them” (Howe, 2006). The hodgepodge online crowd is motivated by serious financial reward. An InnoCentive solution is worth over $100,000.

     Amazon started a separate crowd source web site called Mechanical Turk. The site allows anyone with an Amazon.com account to search through HITs (Human Intelligence Tasks) and receive compensation for completing simple online jobs.

     Although financial incentive is a powerful motivator, it’s not the only reason the hive cooperates. MIT’s Center for Collective Intelligence reports that collaboration is also accomplished for Love and Glory (Malone et al. 2010). For instance, the popularity of Linux is attributed to the continuous improvements made by a gaggle of programmers. The software is free and anyone is allowed to change and improve upon it. The freelance developers are not paid for their efforts but they continue en masse because of their passion for Linux (Malone, et al 2010). The prides of programmers develop for their pride!

Cognition


     Synchronicity and the hive are examples of online coordination and cooperation. However, Malone’s Intelligence Genome theory require a decision making process, in order to demonstrate cognition. In the Big Switch, Harvard professor Nicolas Carr explained, all living systems can be reduced to a process of control. There are two foundations that are involved with the control process (Carr, 2010):
  • Measurement: The current state is observed and leads to the desired state. 
  • Communication: The network and energy that is used to achieve the desired state. 
     The mechanics of control establish a cause and effect; that provide for digital cognition. Online intelligence can therefore produce predictive applications (good decisions).

     Manipulation of the financial markets is an example of cognitive intelligence by means of artificial decisions. Software engineer, Gerd Häußler, explained the practice of hedge fund trading. The process is dependent on software algorithms that executed “elaborate decisions to initiate orders before human traders are capable of processing the information they observe” (Carillo, 2012).

     The concept is similar to IBM’s Watson competing on the TV game show Jeopardy (Krauthammer, 1997). Watson’s superior reflexes determined an answer before a human could comprehend the question. Likewise, climate change models are based on predictive intelligence (Malone, 2011). The super computers use language processing, computational linguistics, machine learning, and statistical analysis to evaluate evidence (Gustin, 2011). Online cognition is more than a collection of data; it’s a process of manipulating information to make new conclusions.

Collective Subconscious


     Carr also explains that the control concept is a cyclical process that cycle between periods of liberation and reestablished control. Because the control process is something used by all living organisms it can be compared to collective intelligence. Following Carr’s logic on the control process, it can be argued that collective free will is similar to that of an individual. Collective desire may be at odds between instinct and ethics.

     Consumerism, pornography, and narcissism are the Internet’s id (the Internet is mostly id). Bureaucracy, regulation, and digital entrepreneurism are the ego. Privacy, independence, and liberation may be the super-ego. Sigmund Freud discussed the concept of a cultural super-ego and the concept can be extended to the Internet’s collective (Lemert, 2009).


     Perhaps the hive mind is without ego altogether? It’s easier to consider the Internet as either the “the one who thinks” or “one who feels and acts” (Chard, 2010). Psychologist Philip Chard discussed the concept of “pure being” (Chard, 2010):
When an individual is stripped naked of their ego all that remains is a profound sense of oneness. There is no longer a separate individual, meaning your consciousness merges with the all-encompassing unity. We get a little taste of this when we totally lose ourselves in some engaging activity, like reading a book, listening to music, watching a film or any other “in the flow” experience.
Although Chard is discussing the transformation of death, the reference pervades into the collective’s soul.

Collective IQ


     How many women does it take to change a light bulb? If Malone’s research is right, the correct answer is, as many as possible! Studies indicate that there is a “genetic makeup of collective intelligence” which improves when women participate (Garber, 2011). The concept is a cognitive branch from the tree of collective intelligence. Collective decisions establish the controlled communicative process; and collective cognition uses control measurements to establish a collective IQ. The same IQ tests applied to individuals are used to measure group intelligence.


     In Malone’s research, how well a group scored was not dependent on individual IQs. The best group scores are determined by factors such as individual’s age, equal input from all members and as mentioned, the number of female participants. The group DNA is mostly influenced by social interactions and emotional intelligence. This is an important concept because, while an individual’s IQ is static, a group’s IQ can be manipulated. There is evidence that the collective intellect will expand.

Eusocial Intelligence


     Anyone who’s ever looked out of an airplane window during a flight may have noticed how the vehicles along the interstate look remarkably like a trail of ants marching. Human activity on the Internet is similar to the group dynamic of the ant hill. Ants work in a coordinated effort to control their environment for the betterment of the colony. They move single grains of soil and clay to expand their territory; which can span for miles. They explore and defend with their insect intellect.


     Edward O. Wilson’s, New Take on Human Nature, explored the topic of eusociality (Angier, 2012). Eusociality, Wilson argued, “Created super organisms, the next level of biological complexity above that of other organisms.” Qualities of eusocialism include multigenerational colonies, division of labor, and altruism (i.e. the group’s willingness to sacrifice some of its members for the good of the colony). Wilson described ants as the dominate eusocial species of the “microhabitats” and that “humans own the macro world”. If the human intellect has conquered the eusocialistic physical world, the Internet may be the ant hill that allows people to transcend the logical world.


Intellectual Evolution

     If the Internet is an intellect, the flip side may be that the human brain is a computer. The inner mechanics of the brain function parallel to computers. The long term storage of a hard drive works according to same principle as long-term memories do. Sleep may be a process that defrags the human hard drive and compresses its data. Random Access Memory (RAM) is the short-term memory process that is used to complete tasks. The decision-making process is based on registry rules and is no different than a central processing unit (CPU). The human spinal cord is a motherboard that allows communication between the various organs. The digestive system is nothing short of a power supply. An argument can be made that computers can have eyes (webcam) and ears (microphone) as well.

     If the human brain isn’t already a computer, it will be soon. Stanford professor of culture and history, Ian Morris, writes about futurist Ray Kurzweil and his theory of Accelerating Returns. Kurzweil believes that technology is expanding exponentially and has reached a point of critical mass. Technology and biology will soon become one. This transforming event is known as the Singularity. Kurzweil predicts that technology will allow people to live forever (Morris, 2012). A person’s consciousness will be uploaded to the Internet and back again. The possibilities are endless.

     Other futurist theories include the New Information Paradigm. Dail DeWitt Doucette, of the Science of Information Institute, argues that information may be the basis of all existence. At the sub-atomic level, a quantum event registers a “quantum bit” into reality. The theory implies that the universe is actually a galactic quantum computer. “Nature processes quantum information whenever a physical system evolves” (DeWitt Doucette, 2011). The universe may trump humans and the Internet as the dominant eusocial intellect.

Conclusion

     Howard Gardner, Harvard professor of cognition, developed the theory of the Five Minds for the Future. Gardner argues that the human mind should develop the disciplined, synthesized, creative, respectful, and ethical intellect. All five qualities may not transcend across the collective intelligence, but he concedes there may be artificial intelligence:
One cannot have conceptions of persons in the absence of membership in a community with certain values; and it seems to me an undue stretch to attribute such a status to computers. However, in some years, both humans and computers may chuckle at my ignorance (Gardner 2009).
     In 1997, Psychologist and syndicated columnist, Charles Krauthammer wrote about the implications of Big Blue’s chess triumph over grand chess master Kasparov. Critics refused to acknowledge Big Blue’s intelligence, even after Kasparov’s loss. Krauthammer disagreed:
Intelligence is as intelligence does. It is known by its product, not by its process. Who cares how a machine gets to its conclusions. After all, who knows how we humans get to ours. (Krauthammer, 1997).
      Whether mechanical or biological, logical or physical, the brain is a source of intelligence. Both life and intelligence can be found at the atomic, virtual, and potentially the astrological levels of the universe. The challenge is to recognize intelligence and harness it.



Last updated  January 16th, 2016 by Steven Jordan




References


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Carr, N. (2008). The Big Switch, New York, NY: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.
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